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Author Topic: 3 Point Shooting Against Power 5 Predictions
Trey Ball
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Member # 332

posted 11-02-2024 09:48 AM      Profile for Trey Ball   Email Trey Ball   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
So I know there is a lot of discussion about the 3 Point Shooting ability of this team so I thought I would start a topic around putting a guess on what we think each player may shoot against the Power 5 opponents this year and as team against those opponents. So here are the opponents I want to measure against:

Duke, Clemson, Gonzaga, Louisville, Ohio State and All SEC Conference Games.

My preseason predictions below in those games:

Team Average - 35.1%
Robinson - 35.5%
Brea - 40.6%
Almonor - 38.2%
Butler - 30.6%
Carr - 33.6%
Chandler - 34.4%
Garrison - 20.3%
Oweh - 33.7%
Kriisa - 35.6%
Noah - 38.6%
Perry - 38.8%

I will try and keep it up to date all year. It will give me something fun to do during the season.

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Wife's Mad. Told me we never talk anymore. And just last nite while watching super bowl told her 2 or 3 times to get me a coke and popcorn. Also told her not to forget to take out trash in the morning. Ain't that something. Also told me I was too indecisive. Can't figure out what to do about that. One nice thing I guess. She called me a pro crastinator. Don't know what a crastinator is but I guess I'm a good one for her to call me a pro. Gonna wait til tomorrow to look that up though. I love her but somrtimes can't help but thinking I should have told uncle Junior to keep his coon hound pup and stevens double barrel and also his youngest daughter.

redbone

Posts: 11648 | From: IN, USA | Registered: Dec 1999  |  IP: Logged
PaulCat
Player
Member # 513

posted 11-03-2024 08:33 AM      Profile for PaulCat     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
This is pretty cool, Trey. I look forward to seeing where your predictions end up. Just curious - you have Robinson lower than every other guard except one. He went 13-21 in the two exhibition games. Do you think that was a fluke? His form looks pretty solid, and several of his makes were well beyond the 3-point line. I think he's the real deal.
Posts: 10369 | From: Erlanger, Ky. USA | Registered: Mar 2000  |  IP: Logged
Tiptree
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Member # 844

posted 11-03-2024 03:19 PM      Profile for Tiptree   Email Tiptree   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I think this team has the potential to shoot at or slightly more than 40% fromm the arc as a team. Their offense is really good at getting an easy catch-and-shoot opportunity. Yes, top-tier defenses will be quicker to cover, but wow. I like the way the ball moves so far.

EXCEPT, I see a lot of skip passes diagonally across the court. Those won't work against good defenses... turnover almost every time. I hope Pope understands that.

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Tiptree

“If a nation expects to be ignorant and free, in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be.” Thomas Jefferson

Posts: 13676 | From: Terre Haute, IN | Registered: Sep 2000  |  IP: Logged
Trey Ball
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Member # 332

posted 11-03-2024 07:33 PM      Profile for Trey Ball   Email Trey Ball   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by PaulCat:
This is pretty cool, Trey. I look forward to seeing where your predictions end up. Just curious - you have Robinson lower than every other guard except one. He went 13-21 in the two exhibition games. Do you think that was a fluke? His form looks pretty solid, and several of his makes were well beyond the 3-point line. I think he's the real deal.

PC,

Pure volume thing for me. I think he is by far UK’s best player and he is going to draw the best defensive player from opposing teams night and night out and coaches are going to focus on stopping him forcing him to take some difficult shots plus I think he will probably have two or three shots a game at end of shot clock situations and have to force up more contested shots.

[ 11-03-2024, 08:27 PM: Message edited by: Trey Ball ]

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Wife's Mad. Told me we never talk anymore. And just last nite while watching super bowl told her 2 or 3 times to get me a coke and popcorn. Also told her not to forget to take out trash in the morning. Ain't that something. Also told me I was too indecisive. Can't figure out what to do about that. One nice thing I guess. She called me a pro crastinator. Don't know what a crastinator is but I guess I'm a good one for her to call me a pro. Gonna wait til tomorrow to look that up though. I love her but somrtimes can't help but thinking I should have told uncle Junior to keep his coon hound pup and stevens double barrel and also his youngest daughter.

redbone

Posts: 11648 | From: IN, USA | Registered: Dec 1999  |  IP: Logged
Trey Ball
Administrator
Member # 332

posted 11-03-2024 08:35 PM      Profile for Trey Ball   Email Trey Ball   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I took a little time today to look up the non-freshmen career 3 PT percentages against all competition:

Robinson 164-478 for 34.3%
Brea 224-516 for 43.4%
Butler 104-324 for 32.1%
Oweh 21-57 for 36.8%
Carr 94-273 for 34.4%
Kriisa 238-647 for 36.8%
Almonor 180-468 for 38.5%
Williams 8-26 for 30.8%
Garrison 0-0 for N/A

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Wife's Mad. Told me we never talk anymore. And just last nite while watching super bowl told her 2 or 3 times to get me a coke and popcorn. Also told her not to forget to take out trash in the morning. Ain't that something. Also told me I was too indecisive. Can't figure out what to do about that. One nice thing I guess. She called me a pro crastinator. Don't know what a crastinator is but I guess I'm a good one for her to call me a pro. Gonna wait til tomorrow to look that up though. I love her but somrtimes can't help but thinking I should have told uncle Junior to keep his coon hound pup and stevens double barrel and also his youngest daughter.

redbone

Posts: 11648 | From: IN, USA | Registered: Dec 1999  |  IP: Logged
rlt4uk
Player
Member # 3194

posted 11-05-2024 07:46 AM      Profile for rlt4uk     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I look forward to following this throughout the year. Last night we only shot 21 three's and still scored 103 points. Pretty impressive.

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Bleeding Blue in south Alabama. Kentucky born, Kentucky bred,I'll be kentucky until i'm dead!

Posts: 9967 | From: enterprise, al 36330 | Registered: Sep 2010  |  IP: Logged
rlt4uk
Player
Member # 3194

posted 11-05-2024 08:01 AM      Profile for rlt4uk     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Kentucky shot 60% from the field and 45.8% from 3 point range.

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Bleeding Blue in south Alabama. Kentucky born, Kentucky bred,I'll be kentucky until i'm dead!

Posts: 9967 | From: enterprise, al 36330 | Registered: Sep 2010  |  IP: Logged
Trey Ball
Administrator
Member # 332

posted 11-13-2024 09:26 PM      Profile for Trey Ball   Email Trey Ball   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Carr 2 of 3 for 66.7%
Oweh 2 of 3 for 66.7%
Brea 2 of 4 for 50.0%
Almonor 1 of 2 for 50.0%
Butler 1 of 3 for 33.3%
Kerr 2 of 7 for 28.6%
Robinson 0 of 3 for 0.0%

Team is 10 of 25 for 40.0%

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Wife's Mad. Told me we never talk anymore. And just last nite while watching super bowl told her 2 or 3 times to get me a coke and popcorn. Also told her not to forget to take out trash in the morning. Ain't that something. Also told me I was too indecisive. Can't figure out what to do about that. One nice thing I guess. She called me a pro crastinator. Don't know what a crastinator is but I guess I'm a good one for her to call me a pro. Gonna wait til tomorrow to look that up though. I love her but somrtimes can't help but thinking I should have told uncle Junior to keep his coon hound pup and stevens double barrel and also his youngest daughter.

redbone

Posts: 11648 | From: IN, USA | Registered: Dec 1999  |  IP: Logged


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