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Posted by eleem (Member # 884) on 08-22-2013, 10:51 PM:

Do these two very different coaches hold the keys to Kentucky football relevancy?

When Kentucky’s football Wildcats take the field in Nashville in just over one week, Cat fans will get the first look at the bi-product of a unique cocktail of football ingredients. With the hiring of Mark Stoops, AD Mitch Barnhart made the first substantial commitment to establishing a true defensive identity in modern Kentucky football history. Stoops, fresh off a season in which his Florida State Seminole defense finished second nationally in total defense, was hired to bring a physical, no-nonsense brand of football to the Bluegrass. With the hire, it appeared the Kentucky program was inclined to mimic the Nick Saban model of coaching. (Elite defense, focus on special teams, conservative offensive attack) However, that assumption took somewhat of a left turn with the hiring of Neal Brown as offensive coordinator. Brown is a direct heir of the wild and wonderful Hal Mumme era in Lexington, and looks to run nearly the same offense that Hal did, only in fast forward. Clearly, there is some degree of dissidence in style between the head man, on old school, smash-mouth football coach, and his offensive coordinator, an Air Raid 2.0 offensive innovator. So how will it all come together? If the two divergent styles mesh, the Cats may have something revolutionary on their hands. A traditionally stout Stoops defense combined with an explosive Air Raid offense would truly be a thing of beauty. But are these entities mutually exclusive? A look into some other programs that worship at the church of Mumme may provide some insight.

First, let’s take a look at the Commonwealth’s own Air Raid legacy. Hal Mumme did not focus on the defensive side of the football during his four year tenure with the Cats. Actually, let me rephrase. Hal Mumme held in utter disdain the notion of focusing on the defensive side of the football during his time at Kentucky. Defense was a necessary evil that interrupted those precious moments in which his offense had the opportunity to exhibit his brilliant offensive mind. Hal was paid to trot out offenses that threw the ball and scored, and in the early days of the regime, when Tim Couch was slinging the ball to Craig Yeast and company, that was good enough. The goal was to outscore the opponent rather than stop it, and if the opponent happened to score a few more touchdowns than the Cats, Hal could just crank up the Jimmy Buffet music, kick a couple of on-sides kicks, and move on to the next game. Eventually, however, the newness wore off, and no amount of passing attempts or fake punts could camouflage what was simply a flawed strategic approach. Fans grew weary of seeing opposing offenses move undisturbed up and down the football field. While Mumme’s offenses perennially led the SEC in passing offense, his defenses routinely finished at the bottom of the pack. Of course, these results were produced at Kentucky, a program that has endured more than its share of struggles regardless of system. Have other Air Raid-style attacks had more luck marrying their systems with legitimate defenses?

Though Mumme himself has slipped into the abyss of fallen division one football coaches, his coaching progeny have thrived. Head coaches like Mike Leach, Dana Holgerson and Sonny Dykes have utilized Mumme’s system to light up scoreboards across the country. The proliferation of the Air Raid, the origins of which Kentucky fans were fortunate enough to witness first hand, has now had a major impact on the college football landscape. Unfortunately, in most of those places, Mumme’s defensive deficiencies have tagged along as well. Below we look at a few notable Air Raid attacks and their offensive and defensive numbers from the 2012 season:

LOUISIANA TECH (Sonny Dykes, wide receiver coach under Hal Mumme at Kentucky)

*Number 2 nationally in total yards (577.9 ypg)

* Number 120 (last) nationally in total defense (526 ypg)

TEXAS A & M (Kliff Kingsbury OC, former QB at Texas Tech under Mike Leach)

* Number 3 nationally in total yards (552.3ypg)

* Number 56 in total defense (389.3 ypg)

WEST VIRGINIA (Dana Holgerson, played under Mumme at Iowa Wesleyan, OC at Texas Tech under Leach)

* Number 9 nationally in total yards (518.5 ypg)

* Number 107 in total defense (469.6 ypg)

TEXAS TECH (Neal Brown OC, played WR for Mumme at Kentucky)

* Number 15 nationally in total yards (501.4 ypg)

* Number 39 in total defense (367.3))

WASHINGTON STATE UNIVERSITY (Mike Leach, OC at Kentucky under Mumme)

* Number 98 in total yards (359.5 ppg)

* Number 81 total defense (425.9 ppg)

MURRAY STATE (Chris Hatcher, QB under Mumme at Valdosta, QB coach under Mumme at Kentucky)

*Number 5 in the FCS division in total offense (484.4 ypg)

* Number 118 (out of 121) total defense (513 ypg)

So what do we learn from the numbers? First, sixteen years after Mumme brought the Air Raid to Lexington, the offense still works. Aside from a rough debut year for Mike Leach in Pullman, every other branch of the Mumme coaching tree detailed above finished in the top fifteen nationally in total yards per game. Holgerson and Kingsbury both led offenses that averaged more than 40 points. Sonny Dykes averaged 52 at Louisiana Tech before being named head coach at Cal. On the “glass half empty” side of things, the defenses predictably struggled ,surrendering an average of 449 yards per game. So the Mumme pattern appears to hold. Do these numbers doom Kentucky to porous defenses for so long as the Air Raid is implemented as Kentucky’s offense of choice? Not necessarily

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